Next Pope Odds: Benedict XVI Resignation Brings Bookmaker To Release Frontrunner
#1
Francis Arinze of Nigeria, Peter Turkson of Ghana and Marc Ouellet of Canada were among the cardinals hotly tipped by bookmakers on Monday to take over from Pope Benedict XVI.

William Hill bookmakers named 80-year-old Arinze as their favourite to replace the pontiff following Monday's shock announcement of the pontiff's resignation with odds of 2-1, followed by Turkson at 5-2.

Coral also tipped Arinze as the likeliest successor with odds of 7-4, followed by Turkson at 2-1 and Ouellet in third place at 5-1.

The bookmaker also offered odds of 8-1 on Archbishop Angelo Scola of Italy and 10-1 on Cardinal Oscar Rodriguez Maradiaga of Honduras.

Irish bookmaker Paddy Power named Ouellet as the favourite with odds of 5-2, followed by Arinze at 3-1 and Turkson at 4-1.

During the 2005 conclave of the Vatican's College of Cardinals that elected Benedict, Arinze was considered "papabile," or a potential successor to the late John Paul II.

"When we opened betting last time around, in 2005, Francis Arinze was our favourite," a William Hill spokesman told AFP.

"His odds did drift towards the date of the announcement when Joseph Ratzinger (later Pope Benedict XVI) became the favourite, but he remained in the top three.

"Also, when Ratzinger became pope, Arinze took over from him as cardinal bishop of Velletri-Segni (a Catholic diocese close to Rome) -- it could be that he'll follow in his footsteps again."

A quarter of the cardinals that can elect a new pope are Italian. The last non-Italian pope before Benedict, who is German, and his Polish predecessor John Paul II was Adrian VI, who died in 1523.

Arinze and Turkson, the head of the Pontifical Council for Justice and Peace who is considered a progressive candidate, are among 18 Africans in the Vatican's College of Cardinals.

Ouellet, a respected theologian who heads up the world's bishops and is seen as a "modern conservative", has also been frequently named in Vatican circles as a possible successor to Benedict.

At the humorous end of the scale, Coral was offering 2000-1 on disgraced cyclist Lance Armstrong becoming pope.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/02/11...61691.html
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#2
The Cardinals aren't going to elect someone who is 80.
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#3
(02-11-2013, 02:25 PM)Someone1776 Wrote: The Cardinals aren't going to elect someone who is 80.

Indeed.

And really, gambling on this?  Not even remotely appropriate.
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#4
I wonder what the odds were of Joseph Cardinal Ratzinger ascending the Throne of St. Peter back in 2005.  I know the media were hoping against it, but was he a shoo-in?
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#5
(02-11-2013, 02:35 PM)Pilgrim Wrote: I wonder what the odds were of Joseph Cardinal Ratzinger ascending the Throne of St. Peter back in 2005.  I know the media were hoping against it, but was he a shoo-in?

He was seen as the front runner with the caveat that front runners tend to leave the conclave a Cardinal.
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#6
(02-11-2013, 02:35 PM)Pilgrim Wrote: I wonder what the odds were of Joseph Cardinal Ratzinger ascending the Throne of St. Peter back in 2005.  I know the media were hoping against it, but was he a shoo-in?

Here's the BBC in 2005: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/201729.stm

And here is something about the bookers in 2005: http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/news/worl...pope_x.htm
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#7
(02-11-2013, 02:56 PM)ecclesiastes Wrote:
(02-11-2013, 02:35 PM)Pilgrim Wrote: I wonder what the odds were of Joseph Cardinal Ratzinger ascending the Throne of St. Peter back in 2005.  I know the media were hoping against it, but was he a shoo-in?

Here's the BBC in 2005: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/201729.stm

And here is something about the bookers in 2005: http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/news/worl...pope_x.htm
They actually thought Danneels was a Papabile?  :O
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#8
(02-11-2013, 02:25 PM)Someone1776 Wrote: The Cardinals aren't going to elect someone who is 80.

Yeah, they've never done that before.
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#9
These betting sites are kind of silly.  The Conclave is 100% secret.  I'm sure they have some tiny pulse on things, but mostly they just have no idea.  It's rare that the supposed frontrunner wins anyway.
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#10
(02-11-2013, 06:21 PM)Walty Wrote: These betting sites are kind of silly.  The Conclave is 100% secret.  I'm sure they have some tiny pulse on things, but mostly they just have no idea.  It's rare that the supposed frontrunner wins anyway.

I'm sure their odds are good enough to make the bookies money.  :pipe:
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